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FOR THE RECORD – CONSUMER: King or Servant in Insurance Business

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By Chief Yemi Soladoye

Technical Adviser, Insurance Consumers Association of Nigeria (INSCAN)

  1. INTRODUCTION

The supremacy of the Consumer as the reason for any business is not in doubt in all commercial activities including Insurance. The Insurance Laws in Nigeria, The Regulators, The Insurance Market Associations (NIA, NCRIB, ILAN etc) all work together to maintain the paramountey of the Consumers interest in Insurance Transactions in Nigeria. To this extent, the Insurance Consumers Association of Nigeria (INSCAN) does not ascribe to the 2 extreme positions of King or Servant as it believes that the Insurance Consumers in Nigeria is being treated as King. However, the only question agitating the minds of Insurance Consumers in Nigeria since 1921 is what category of King are we – 1st class, 2nd class, or 3rd class.

In selecting this topic, the Editor of Business Journal might have been encouraged by the negative perception of Insurance business in Nigeria and the impressive levels which sister industries like Banking and Pension have attained in the past 10 years in terms of Customer Satisfaction and Protection.

Point blank, this audience needs to be advised that even we, the – Insurance Consumers – recognise the following special nature of Insurance contract compared to other Financial services –

  • In Insurance, we are not exchanging things of equal value. We pay as little as N1,000.00 (GPA Policy) in some cases to receive N1.0m compensation from Insurance – in banking it is N1.0m deposit for N1.0m withdrawal.
  • In Insurance, though the Insurance company carries the liability 100%, the subject matter of Insurance (car, house, factory, life) still remains under the absolute control of the Insured whereas N1.0m placed in your bank account cannot still be under your control and;
  • Insurance is a business that rewards mainly the bad customers. It is those whose properties are damaged that get rewarded by Insurance companies – in banking a bad customer (the debtor) gets his properties confiscated and his name published by AMCON.

Do the above therefore suggest that the Nigeria Insurance Customers are Kings? Nothing can be farther from the truth. The fact of the matter is that the Nigeria Insurance industry basically has no Consumers. It only has Indirect Consumers because the market concentrates mainly on the Government and Corporate Accounts dealing with public servants and corporate executives whose definition of good customer service is predicated on other parameters.

  1. TREATING THE CUSTOMER AS KING

Treating the Consumer as King is a concept embedded in the Insurance laws of each African country. e.g. Ghana Insurance Act 2006

Objects of the National Insurance Commission (NIC) Ghana.

Objective – 1 – Protect Insurance Policyholders.

Objective – 2(e) – Provide Complaint Bureau.

Objective – 2(g) – Arbitrate on Insurance Claims.

Objective – 2(i) – Undertake sustained and methodical public education on Insurance.

Objective – 3 – Have high regard to the Protection of the public against financial loss arising out of the dishonesty, incompetence, malpractice or insolvency of Insurer/intermediaries.

At international level, one of the Core Principles of International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) states:  “The key objectives of Insurance Supervision is to promote the maintenance of efficient, fair, safe and stable insurance markets for the benefit and protection of policyholders”. And Ray Hodgin in his Book “Insurance Law” wrote: “The greatest calamity a man can face is to suddenly realize that his Insurance protection is a worthless piece of paper”.

  1. THE MEETING POINT FOR THE CUSTOMERS AND INSURERS

Treating the Insurance Consumer as King will achieve the following in Nigeria.

  • Consumer Trust and Confidence
  • Consumer Trust will build Market Growth
  • Insurance Market Growth will generate savings, investment and employment.
  • Insurance Market will Stimulate growth of other sectors like Mortgage, SME and generate funds for projects of national development

Treating the Consumer as King is therefore the basis, the purpose and the essence of Insurance operation in any country.

  1. THE PROCESS

The process of treating the Consumer as King usually manifest in 5 areas:

  1. INSURANCE LAWS AND REGULATIONS THAT WORK
  2. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE RULES
  3. CONSUMER EDUCATION
  4. CONSUMER PROTECTION
  5. GRIEVANCE REDRESS MECHANISM
  6. INSURANCE LAWS OF A COUNTRY
  7. Before the contract = protection of Policyholders Interest – India as best example in the world.
  8. During the contract = Fund & Premium Guarantee Initiatives – USA as best example in the world.
  9. After the contract = Grievance Redressal Mechanism – South Africa and U.K as best examples in the world.
  1. THE CORPORATE GOVERNANCE RULES IN A COUNTRY – NAICOM.

The Insurance Regulator in Nigeria (NAICOM) is a good example of evolving Good Corporate Governance Rules in Africa as a way of making the Customer the King.

The Corporate Governance Rules in Nigeria Insurance market are predicated on 3 Issues:

  1. Insurance is a business guided by Public Policy.
  2. Most economies run properly only when insurance is able to safely pull the funds of the masses to the masses.
  3. There is the need to ensure that a commercial wealth is managed in a way that there is accounting to everybody.

It is about Ethics, Setting the policing system, Patrolling the fence and Strengthening the industry in all sectors

NAICOM manifests its powers in strict directives on issues like:

  • Minimum share-capital
  • Statutory deposit of capital
  • Risk-based solvency rules as against volume-based
  • Solvency-based supervision as against Audit-based
  • File and approve condition on products as against file and use
  • Addition of off-site inspection to on-site inspection
  • Advocating use of independent directors.
  • Monitoring both technical and financial ratios of insurance operators and
  • Focus on the Internal Risks of the operators
  1. CONSUMER EDUCATION
  • In practice, insurance contract is guided by its principles and practice.
  • The principles of insurance are only known and understood by the practitioners.
  • The meanings ascribed to perils e.g. riot, flood, are not as understood by the Consumers in their day to day usage.
  • The consumer does not pay the premium to buy the principles, the perils or the jargons.
  • The consumer pays the premium to buy peace of mind, confidence, assured future, security, happiness, protection and compensation.

Making the Customer King starts from translating the principles, the jargons and the contract into simple language with the consumer and his benefits in mind.

Misconception about Consumer Education

Consumer education is not the same as Advertisement, Social responsibility Initiatives, Media Relations or Capacity and man-power development.

Consumer Education requires deliberate Industry programme and budget on Insurance Education, Financial Education, Uniform Contract Terms, Widening the avenues to secure redress and Financial Inclusion – All directed at the public, the Law Enforcement Officers, the Judicial Officers, the Governments, the Law makers and the Policy makers.

  1. CONSUMER PROTECTION.

United Kingdom

Causes of Radical Approach to Policyholder Protection in the U.K

A number of Insurance companies crashed in the 1960s and 1970s,

  • thousands of policyholders exposed to great financial losses.
  • membership of the European Union resulted in the application of Directives, with the solvency of insurance companies being important to EU.

The Policyholders Protection Act 1975 was promulgated.

Duties and Mode of Operation in the Board

Protect the interest, of any policyholder or others who have or may be prejudiced by inability of an insurance company to meet its liabilities.

The Board takes Subrogation rights of the policyholder into consideration

  • The Board’s rescue plans is not limited to an insurance company being in liquidation.
  • Possible to classify a company as being in financial difficulties and safeguard the policyholders’ position.

The Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 was promulgated and the PPA of 1975 was repealed.

The FSMA established the Financial Services Compensation Scheme to widen the scope of Consumer Protection Schemes in the U.K.

The FSCS has the power to:

  • Transfer part or whole of the insurance business of a firm to other firms
  • Secure the issuance of substitute insurance policies by another firm to eligible claimants
  • Give assistance to Insurance Undertakings in difficulty to enable them to continue business
  • Compensate eligible claimants.

The Nigeria Experience

In law, there are strict rules on Consumer Protection in Nigeria, but in practice we, the Consumers are not well protected. Thousands of our members lost their Life Savings in the Recapitalisation Exercise of 2007 (Amicable Assurance etc.) while others still lose their savings on daily basis due to abscondment of their agents.

Cross Country Experience:

  1. Protection of Policy holders Interest – Regulation 2002 of IRDA 1999 – India.

Point of Sale – Prospectus to clearly state the scope of benefits.

  • Ridders to bear the nature and  character of the main policy
  • Agents / Intermediary to provide all material information.

Proposal form-

  • Must be evidenced by a written document
  • Must be made available in language recognised by the constitution of India
  • Proposal to be processed with speed and efficiency.

Grievance redressal Procedure.

  • Efficient and speedy internal grievance procedure to be put in place by each
  • Information on Ombudsman to be communicated along with policy document.

Policy document

  • Fourteen (14) salient information on life and sixteen (16) on General business concerning the contract to be clearly stated in the policy.

Claims Procedure

  • Policy document to contain all required claim documents
  • Additional documents to be raised all at once
  • Claim to be settled within 30 days of full documentation
  • Surveyor to be appointed within 72 hrs of notice of claim
  • Facility of calling for additional report from surveyor shall not be used more than once
  • Claims payment to be made within 7 days of acceptance of offer.

Customer Servicing

  • Communication from the policyholder to be responded to within 10 days
  1. National Consumer Protection Act 1986 – India

–  A consumer has about 12 channels to his grievances. 3 tiers of Grievance handling: District, State, National

Insurance

  • Insurance Ombudsman – 1998
  • IRDA – Protection of Policyholders interest
  • Quasi-Judicial Power – < $40, 000.00
  • Award binding on insurer not insured
  • Award to be honoured within 3 months
  • 17 Ombudsman across the country
  • Power applicable to both public and private sectors
  • Simple filling procedure
  • On-line registration / redress
  • Consumer can lodge grievance against Poor Service
  • Regulator under duty to educate consumers.
  1. GRIEVANCE REDRESS MECHANISM

Another process of making the Consumer King in Insurance is the use of OMBUDSMAN

1)    Insurance Ombudsman – U.K.

  • The Insurance Ombudsman Bureau (the 1st of its kind in the Europe) was established in 1981 by three (3) underwriters – General Accident, Guardian Royal Exchange and The Royal
  • Ombudsman has since spread to many other areas of conflict such as banking, building societies, personal investment: and even funeral.

In 1982, the first year of full operation, 1,053 enquiries relating to member companies were received.

Further 1,272 enquiries relating to non-member companies were noted of the cases adjudicated, the Ombudsman confirmed the members’ decision in 79% and revised 21%.

SOUTH AFRICA

Insurance Ombudsman was established in 2003 while Complaints handling started in 2004

22 Complaints were handled in the 1st month and now at the rate of 10,000/month.

Consumer Protection act of South Africa was promulgated in 2009 with the United Nations Guidelines on Consumer Protection as the base.

Focus is to see that Consumers have the right to choose and to be informed and that consumers are properly educated and not misled.

  1. OTHER MARKET INITIATIVES – SELF-REGULATION

TanzaniaThe Insurance Act 2009 – Association of Underwriters

A new development in the involvement of the operators in Consumer Protection

Terms of the Associations Operations

  • Premium received to be held in trust
  • Specified sums or securities to be deposited by the Association members
  • Evidence of annual audit of Accounts to be furnished by the members
  • Auditor of the Association to certify the level of solvency of each member
  • Chairman of the association to certify that all members have complied with the requirement of Insurance law in Tanzania.

Insurance Ombudsman Tanzania

  • Ombudsman appointed by the Minister
  • To resolve disputes arising between insurance consumers and operators in Tanzania
  • Jurisdiction excludes large and special risks
  • Complaint must not be an unsuccessful issue with the operator within the past 12 months or pending before a 3rd party dispute resolution forum
  • Has power for direct losses and damages up to 15.0m shillings
  • His power of investigation as wide as that of the Insurance Commissioner.
  • Funds of the Ombudsman services appropriated by the Parliament.
  1. CONCLUSION

Judging from the insurance performance of countries like the U.S.A, the United Kingdom, India and Malaysia, it appears that the history of growth of any Insurance Market (no matter the size of the economy or population) is the history of her making the Consumer the King and essentially 1st class King.

The evidence of being an effective regulator is also on the supremacy of the Consumers and not necessarily the amount of fines and sanctions imposed on the operators.

Finally, we thank the Regulators and the operators for making us Kings, but we are 3rd Class King at the moment.

Thank you.

Yemi Soladoye.

Emirates Offers Nigerians 50% Ticket Bonus to Dubai

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Emirates, voted the World’s Best Airline in the 2016 Skytrax World Airline Awards, is offering Nigerian customers return airfares of up to 50 percent off to Dubai, one of the world’s most iconic cities.

This special offer, which is available for both Economy Class and Business Class travel, must be purchased from now to 30th November 2016 for travels until 31st May 2017.

Known as a city of contrasts, from futuristic architecture to vibrant traditional culture and diversity, Dubai is a place that caters to all types of travellers.

The city offers everything a visitor could want, from shopping at some of the largest malls in the region to dining options which will spoil anyone for choice, a trip to Dubai is a must for families, friends and individuals.

The city also offers visitors several new and exciting experiences, such as the recently-opened IMG Worlds of Adventure, the world’s largest indoor themed entertainment destination, and the soon-to-be-opened Dubai Parks and Resorts, which will offer a range of attractions and experiences.

Other attractions in the city include the Burj Khalifa, the tallest building in the world, traditional souks and the clear water beaches of the Arabian Gulf.

On all Emirates’ flights, customers can look forward to hours of entertainment on the airline’s ice system, which offers over 2500 channels of on demand audio and visual entertainment, from the latest movies, music, audio books and games, as well as family friendly products and services for children, including complimentary toys, kids’ meals and movies, priority boarding for families and the use of free strollers at Dubai International Airport.

In addition to the on-board comforts and products, customers will also experience the world famous hospitality from Emirates’ multinational cabin crew while enjoying chef prepared regional and international cuisine, using the freshest ingredients, accompanied by a wide range of complimentary wines and beverages.

EK 784 departs Lagos daily at 18.35hrs and arrives at Dubai International Airport at 05.05hrs. The return flight, EK783, leaves Dubai at 10.30hrs and arrives in Lagos at 15.40hrs.

Nigeria Drops to 99 in 2017 Global Entrepreneurship Index

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Tunisia, Botswana and South Africa are the three African countries with the best entrepreneurship environment, according to the “Global Entrepreneurship Index 2017” published on Nov. 13 by the Global Entrepreneurship and Development Institute (GEDI, London).

Worldwide, Tunisia comes 42nd in the rankings ahead of Italy, India, China and Russia.

Botswana and South Africa are respectively 52nd and 55th on the list which ranks 137 countries.

In Africa, the three nations are followed by Namibia (4th) in the rankings which assess the quality and dynamics of entrepreneurship systems, thus beating Morocco, Algeria, Gabon, Egypt and Ghana.

Swaziland closes the top 10 of African nations where it is good to be an entrepreneur (See down 2017 rankings for 36 African nations surveyed).

Countries with the highest growth this year, comparing actual rankings to last year’s, are Tunisia (+20 ranks), Ghana (+13 ranks) and Gabon (+11 ranks).

In opposition, the highest drops were recorded by Libya (-25 ranks) and Nigeria (-14 ranks).

In the world, the United States hold the first position, ahead of Switzerland, Canada, Sweden, Denmark, Iceland, Australia, United Kingdom, Ireland and Netherlands.

The Global Entrepreneurship Index inputs various criteria including the perception of entrepreneurship by society, risk level, quality of education, start up creation skills, Internet usage, corruption level, economic freedom and depth of capital markets.

“Our composite index gives policymakers a tool for understanding the entrepreneurial strengths and weaknesses of their countries, thereby enabling them to implement policies that foster productive entrepreneurship,” the GEDI says.

African nations where environment is best for entrepreneurship in 2017:

1-Tunisia (42nd worldwide)

2-Botswana (52nd)

3-South Africa (55th)

4-Namibia (60th)

5-Morocco (70th)

6-Algeria (73rd)

7-Gabon (75th)

8-Egypt (81st)

9-Ghana (86th)

10-Swaziland (88th)

11-Zambia (96th)

12-Nigeria (99th)

13-Senegal (102nd)

14- Rwanda (103rd)

15-Lybia (104th)

16-Kenya (107th)

17-Ethiopia (109th)

18-Côte d’Ivoire (112nd)

19-Gambia (115th)

20-Cameroon (116th)

21-Tanzania (118th)

22-Mali (119th)

23-Liberia (121st)

24-Mozambique (123rd)

25-Madagascar (124th)

26-Angola (125th)

27-Uganda (126th)

28-Benin (127th)

29-Malawi (130th)

30-Guinea (131st)

31-Burkina Faso (132nd)

32-Mauritania (134th)

34-Sierra Leone (135th)

35- Burundi (136th)

36- Chad (137th)

Broadband Commission: Demand-creation Programs to Stimulate ICT Adoption

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The Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development’s Working Group on Demand, which is chaired by the Commissioner, John Galvin, GM and Vice-President of Intel Corporation’s Government and Education group, launched a new report yesterday.

The report showcases the results of six case studies of different country-led programs in Costa Rica, Colombia, India, Kenya, Senegal and South Korea. The programmes explored how to best stimulate ICT adoption and increase the use and impact of technologies and broadband in various communities and environments. The case studies provide a useful window into different ways to collaborate in order to get underserved populations online.

“Information and communication technologies are crucial in achieving all of the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals, because ICTs integrate and support all three pillars of sustainable development: economic growth, social inclusion and environmental sustainable,” said ITU Secretary-General Houlin Zhao.

Launched at the conclusion of the ITU Telecom World plenary session, Reaching another billion: Understanding what works to stimulate ICT adoption, the Working Group on Demand report provides main lines for discussion for panelists representing the public, industry and civil society.

The report is a collaborative effort of several commissioners and Working Group members, resulting in a list of recommendations that can effectively lead to the enabling environment required to encourage more people to get online. The report said governments have a vested role in the solutions, and that the greatest positive benefits are achieved with public-private partnerships when all relevant stakeholders collaborate and leverage their respective expertise and resources and ultimately work together towards common goals.

The Broadband Commission for Sustainable Development was established in 2010 and comprises more than 50 leaders from across a range of government and industry sectors who are committed to actively assisting countries, UN experts and NGO teams to fully leverage the huge potential of ICTs to drive national SDG strategies in key areas like education, healthcare and environmental management.

China, France Create Joint €300M Fund to Invest in Africa

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China and France announced on November 15 the official launch of a €300 million investment fund to finance joint projects in Africa and Asia.

The fund was launched on the sideline of the visit of China’s deputy Prime Minister, Kai ma, to France.

Managed by CDC International Capital (CDC IC), subsidiary of Caisse des Dépôts dédiée aux partenariats d’investissements directs, and backed by the China Investment Corporation (CIC) sovereign fund, the new fund could reach a capital of two billion Euros, by opening up to other Chinese and French institutional investors.

It will mainly target the renewable energy, health and infrastructure sectors. “This new alliance, sealed with this fund, aims to foster economic cooperation between our countries. Rather than competing in Africa, we will now work together,” said Laurent Vigier, CEO of CDC IC. “It will also ease our entry in Asian markets which are still difficult to penetrate,” he added commenting the partnership.

Let’s recall that China and France signed in June 2015 a declaration of partnership for third country markets under which the two nations committed to win, together, new markets in Africa and Asia.

Moreover, under the same declaration, the two countries are to work together on infrastructure and energy projects and develop “new cooperation formulas for co-production and co-financing” which will target “mainly Asia and Africa.”

CBN: ‘Heritage Bank is Strong, Healthy’

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Ifie Sekibo Managing Director/CEO Heritage Bank

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has debunked widespread rumours alleging that Heritage Bank Limited is in dire financial condition.

Mr. Isaac Okorafor, Acting Director, Corporate Communications, CBN, said in a statement:

“The attention of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been drawn to false and malicious stories on the social media insinuating that Heritage Bank is under financial distress and therefore unable to discharge its obligations to its depositors. We wish to state that Heritage Bank is not in distress and as such its depositors should go about their transactions without fear. For the avoidance of doubt, we wish to further state that no Nigerian Bank is in distress. The CBN, as the industry regulator, has a duty to depositors, in particular, and the economy, in general, to ensure the soundness of all financial institutions. We therefore wish to assure all depositors of the safety of their deposits. The CBN also wishes to state that it will remain alive to its responsibility of ensuring banking system stability and soundness through constant monitoring and supervision of all licensed institutions. The Central Bank of Nigeria wishes to reiterate that the banking system remains resilient enough to weather the current economic storm.”

In the same vein, Mrs. Olusola Longe-Okenimkpe, Divisional Head, Corporate Communications of Heritage Bank issued a statement on behalf of the management:

“The attention of Heritage Bank Plc has been drawn to deceptive reports contained in a media publication, alleging the bank’s inability to honour its obligations to customers amongst other contrived reports on the financial state of the bank. Heritage Bank wishes to categorically refute this false information being circulated about the institution with a misdirected intent to derail and misinform the banking public on its financial state. Whilst we acknowledge the challenging operating environment currently experienced in all sectors of the economy, Heritage Bank remains financially stable and has continued to discharge its obligations to all customers and stakeholders. This position is buttressed by the commendable results posted by the bank in the past financial year and the last three quarters of 2016, resulting in shareholder approvals to list its shares on the Nigerian Stock Exchange within one year of its business combination with the erstwhile Enterprise Bank Limited. The bank wishes to assure all customers and stakeholders of the safety of their deposits and financial transactions in line with our commitment to a strong service culture and sound corporate governance practice.

FG Tackles CBN, NTA over Un-remitted N450bn

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Godwin Emefiele CBN Governor

The Federal Ministry of Finance has announced the constitution of a committee to recover unremitted operating surpluses of agencies of government, running into N450 billion.

The committee led by the Accountant General of the Federation, Alhaji Ahmed Idris, is to reconcile the operating surpluses of 31 revenue-generating agencies of government for the period 2010-2015.

The findings of the committee so far, have shown under-remittance of over N450 billion, which has accrued within the period.

The Finance Ministry stated that staff of the Office of the Accountant General of the Federation have critically reviewed the accounting statements of these agencies, which include the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Petroleum Technology Development Fund, (PTDF), National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC), Nigerian Television Authority (NTA), and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), among others.

The Committee will therefore be inviting the management of these agencies to explain why their operating surpluses have not been remitted as mandated by the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007.

It will be recalled that Sections 21 and 22 of the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007, specifically states that:

“21. (1) The Government corporations and agencies and government owned companies listed in the Schedule to this Act (in this Act referred of as “the Corporations”) shall, not later than six months from the commencement of this Act and every three financial years thereafter and not later than the end of the second quarter of every year, cause to be prepared and submitted to the Minister their Schedule estimates of revenue and expenditure for the next three financial years.

2) Each of the bodies referred to in sub-section (1) of this section shall submit to the Minister not later than the end of August in each financial year:

  1. An annual budget derived from the estimates submitted in pursuance of subsection (1) of this section; and
  2. Projected operating surplus which shall be prepared in line with acceptable accounting practices

3) The Minister shall cause the estimates submitted in pursuance of subsection (2) of this section to be attached as part of the Appropriation Bill to be submitted to the National Assembly.

  1. (1) Notwithstanding the provisions of any written law governing the corporation, each corporation shall establish a general reserve fund and shall allocate thereto at the end of each financial year, one-fifth of its operating surplus for the year.

2) The balance of the operating surplus shall be paid into the Consolidate Revenue Fund of the Federal Government not later than one month following the statutory deadline for publishing each corporation’s accounts.”

Some of these agencies have incurred huge expenses on overseas training and medicals, and huge expenses on behalf of supervisory ministries and/other organs of government involved in oversight or regulatory functions without appropriate approval.

Other infractions include payment of salaries and allowances to staff and board members, governing councils, and commissions which are outside or above the amount approved by the Revenue Mobilisation and Fiscal Allocation Commission (RMFAC) and the National Salaries, Income and Wages Commission.

The list also includes unacceptable expenses incurred on donations, sponsorships, etc; unfavourable contract signed for revenue collection by a third party; granting of staff loans that have not been repaid as well as sale and transfer of assets to board members, among others.

According to the Finance Ministry, the overall effect of these practices is that operating surpluses of these agencies are lower than should be.

As a result of this, the Honourable Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun has directed the Accountant General of the Federation to issue a circular that will limit allowable expenses that can be spent as part of measures to ensure these agencies face strict monitoring.

This development is part of the resolve of the Honourable Minister to ensure that leakages are tackled.

Headline Inflation Tops 18.3% in October 2016

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The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the inflation figures for the month of October on Monday 14th October. Broadly in line with our expectation, Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y) Headline inflation inched higher from 17.9% in September to 18.3% in October 2016.

Month-on-Month (M-o-M) movement of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) also bucked recent deceleration after 4 consecutive months, rising 83bps in October (from 81bps in September) with increases recorded across almost all major divisions which contribute to the Headline Index.
The Food index rose 17.1% Y-o-Y in October (from 16.6% in September) owing to the increase in prices of Bread and Cereal, Fish and Meat. The Core sub-index also climbed 18.1% Y-o-Y from 17.7% Y-o-Y in September as fuel prices (solid and liquid fuels) and electricity tariff recorded further increases.

However, M-o-M movement in the Core sub-index eased to 75bps (lowest in 11 months) compared to 96bps in September as average prices of petrol declined to N145.90/l from N146.30/l in September and average price of diesel also moderated to N187.25 from N192.69 recorded in September.

However, average price of kerosene in October rose to N292.73 from N288.68 in September.
Broadly, inflation remains driven by structural supply side factors ranging from weaker exchange rate pass-through on the Core basket and Imported Food index to hike in fuel and electricity prices. Average yield across benchmark bonds rose 10bps on Monday from Friday’s close following the release of the CPI report.

Uptrend in yield was observed in instruments with outstanding Term to Maturity (TTM) between 3.25 years and 19.34 years.

Yet, we think Inflation rate is hardly the driver of yields at current high levels (nor should it be), given that the NBS’ Core inflation (all items less farm produce) remains below short term rate in the economy, while the impact of high base effect should typically begin to force inflation rate downwards in 2017 bar significant external shocks.
Rather, we believe the yield premium over Core Inflation is being induced by an ultra-tight monetary policy to compensate for FX rate movement and illiquidity risks; which are subsisting factors that will continue to keep inflation expectation high and also priced into debt securities valuation.

Airlines Get Creative with Trump-inspired Advert

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Donald Trump’s election as the President of the United States came as a surprise both to American voters and millions across the globe. In the age of viral marketing, companies are trying to cash in on all breaking news, airlines being no exception.

AeroTime presents a compilation of the most creative ads that have been inspired by the 2016 US presidential election.

Ryanair is known for creative marketing, using everything from Brexit to sacked football coaches in their campaigns. In the case of the 2016 US presidential election, the Irish LCC managed to mock both Trump and Clinton.

One of the most controversial statements that came from Trump this year was his proposal to ban Muslims from entering the US. Royal Jordanian Airlines took a swipe at the newly elected US President with an ad, suggesting Muslim travelers to book tickets while they’re still allowed to travel to the States.

On Election Night so many concerned US citizens tried to enter Canada’s immigration website that it went under the unexpected traffic load. Here is an Air Canada ad that was actually published in June, when the “How can I move to Canada” searches saw a staggering increase.

Europe is another destination that was searched by many prior and after the election. Iceland’s WOW air found a way to attract more customers with extremely low fares for one-way tickets across the pond.

capture

Many celebrities, including Cher, Barbra Streisand, Samuel L. Jackson and Miley Cyrus pledged to leave the US if Trump won.

Tennessee-based LCC Jones Airways took a jab at dozens of celebrities by offering them free airplane rides to Canada.

Business Journal Insurance Summit for Nov. 17

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Mohammed Kari, Commissioner for Insurance, NAICOM
Mohammed Kari, Commissioner for Insurance, NAICOM

Alhaji Mohammed Kari, Commissioner for Insurance, National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) will be the Special Guest of Honour at the 2nd Business Journal Insurance Summit 2016 scheduled for Thursday, November 17, 2016 at Protea Hotel, GRA Ikeja. Time is 10.00am.

Mr. O. S. Thomas, Director-General, Nigerian Insurers Association (NIA) will Chair the event while the Distinguished Guest Speaker is PR expert, Dr. Phil Osagie, Global Lead Strategist, JSP Communications Limited.

A statement by Prince Cookey, Publisher/Editor-in-Chief of Business Journal, says the summit would be the single largest gathering of insurance regulators, operators, professionals, media and allied professions to examine critical issues affecting sustainable growth of the insurance sector in Nigeria.

Cookey said: “Following the great success of the maiden edition of the summit, the 2016 event promises to be an even greater outing in view of the line-up of distinguished speakers, the topics for discussion
and the enthusiastic response from stakeholders in the insurance industry.”

He said the Insurance Consumers Association of Nigeria [INSCAN] and Association of Registered Insurance Agents of Nigeria [ARIAN] will lead discussion at the Open Forum session.

Some of the topics for the summit include: The Role of PR in Growing Insurance Business in Nigeria; CONSUMERS: Kings or Servants in Insurance; The Importance of Agents in Insurance Business; Retail-The Future of Insurance Business in Nigeria; Driving Insurance Growth in Nigeria via Strategic Innovation.

The theme of the summit is: ‘Managing Risks in a Depressed Economy: The Case of Nigeria.

’It would be recalled that Business Journal won international recognition as the ‘Best
Financial Newspaper in Nigeria” at the 2015 International Finance awards by Wealth & Finance International magazine of the United Kingdom (UK).

Business Journal was also nominated twice for the First Bank Business Publication of the Year award by the Nigerian Media Merit Award [NMMA].

TRUMP: Global Economic Impact of Victory

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FROM late January, Donald Trump will have all the authority of the American executive, and the support of a unified Republican Congress, behind him. He will, therefore, be in a position to deliver profound and lasting change.

The near-term economic effect of a Trump presidency is perhaps not of foremost concern to vulnerable racial and religious minorities in America, or to nervous NATO allies in Eastern Europe. But the economic consequences of Mr. Trump’s presidency could be enormous, and costly.

In the short run, the market reaction will receive most attention. Mr. Trump will not be president until early in 2017, and so it falls to markets to anticipate, and price in, expected policy changes. Stock markets are set to open down today, and the election could presage a longer slump if investors feel that the uncertainty generated by Mr. Trump’s victory will harm growth and corporate profits.

But volatility, rather than a bear market, might be the more probable outcome, given the lack of clarity as to what Mr. Trump will prioritise in office. Bond prices will probably wobble a lot as markets seek insurance against risk. Normally, American bonds are the world’s great safe haven. Treasury prices look set to fall this morning, however. Traders might be second-guessing the safety provided by American government debt; the trouble for investors is that if treasuries are not safe, nothing is.

Market gyrations could be enough to do damage to the American (and global) economy, but that particular risk might be overstated. Market swings in the wake of Brexit were not as immediately damaging as many observers feared.

What’s more, there will be offsetting factors. At the moment, markets still expect the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates in December. That could quickly change if markets look unsteady, however. Central banks elsewhere in the world will also be on their guard, ready to provide more accommodation if needed.

In addition, Mr. Trump’s policy platform could be stimulative in the medium run. Though his economic plans have never been especially detailed, a few things are clear. First, Mr. Trump would cut taxes dramatically.

His tax cuts would mostly benefit the rich, which would limit the boost to demand somewhat, but a large increase in the government deficit could not help but give a jolt to the economy. At the same time, Mr Trump seems likely to increase spending on defence and on infrastructure (and, possibly, on a wall, which would seemingly count as both).

If Mr. Trump moves forward with plans to detain and deport large numbers of people that would also add to government spending. Under Barack Obama, both government spending and borrowing have fallen—despite an $800 billion stimulus—as a share of GDP; under Republican government those trends seem sure to reverse. Of course, the Fed’s reaction to government policy will determine the extent to which that fiscal boost translates into faster economic growth.

The Fed’s role in the economy could itself be under threat. Mr. Trump has expressed criticism of the monetary-policy choices of Janet Yellen. If she stays on the job her term will nonetheless be up in 2018, while Mr. Trump is president.

Before then, he will have the opportunity to fill seats on the Board of Governors. In the short run, no other policy choice is nearly as consequential as these appointments. Were Mr. Trump to push the Fed in a significantly more hawkish direction, a near-term recession would be a certainty. It is not impossible that Mr. Trump would prefer a less independent Fed committed to getting him re-elected, however, in which case policy could actually become more dovish leading, maybe, to faster growth in output and a rise in inflation.

Other policy changes would have more impact on the distribution of economic gains. If, as seems likely, Republicans repeal Obamacare, millions of Americans will lose their health insurance. That will have serious human consequence unless the government steps in with an alternative plan. (The only realistic alternative which does not lead to large numbers of people going uninsured is an extension of government-provided coverage—not something Republicans have traditionally favoured, though one hardly knows what to expect under a Trump presidency.)

Undocumented immigrants and their family members will be in a far more vulnerable position under Mr. Trump than they have been during Mr Obama’s tenure. That will reduce their ability to move, change jobs, make large investments, and ask employers for higher pay or better treatment.

If Mr. Trump manages to keep America out of an immediate economic crisis, the long-run effects of his presidency will prove most profound. The status of many international institutions is now in question. It is difficult to imagine new trade deals being completed, and old ones might be reopened or scrapped.

Mr. Trump has some leeway to unilaterally impose temporary trade restrictions, but such moves would entitle other countries to respond with punitive restrictions of their own. The outlook for global trade growth, already quite bearish relative to the hyper-globalisation of the 2000s, has darkened considerably. Other important policy changes are difficult to anticipate. One suspects that Mr. Trump will not be especially interested in international co-operation to limit tax avoidance or restrain the power of global banks.

It is possible that a Trump administration would pull support from the IMF and the World Bank, removing some of the shock absorbers in the international system. Mr. Trump has promised to reduce regulation, but it is hard to know how he will manage important economic trends, like consolidation in American industry. It is easy to see him as a corporatist, willing to give lots of room for manoeuvre to powerful firms. That could be good for profits, while also encouraging economic nationalism around the world, undermining the long-run growth potential of the American economy, and reducing the bargaining power of workers.

Some industries, like fossil-fuel companies, which had found themselves needing to tread lightly under Mr. Obama, could enjoy much more freedom under Mr. Trump. That might be good for energy producers in the short run, and perhaps for consumers as well.

On the other hand, the progress the world’s governments have made in recent years moving toward a commitment to reduce global emissions is now in grave danger. America has handed control over the world’s largest economy to a party that does not believe in global warming, at a crucial moment in the battle to keep temperature increases within a manageable range. The long-run effects of this choice could be disastrous.

Then there are the great unknowns. Mr. Trump controls the world’s most powerful military. It is hard to know how he will use it, or the diplomatic machinery of the American government. Any move toward greater conflict in the Middle East or Asia could have serious economic consequences: from soaring oil prices to market panic to interruptions in global trade. The economic and human costs of war are impossible to anticipate but frightening to consider.

Yet even if Mr. Trump does not land America and the world in a serious new conflict or a global depression, his effect on the trajectory of global growth and development could be substantial and terrible.

Mr. Trump may kick into reverse a process of globalisation which had already stalled. That will not restore to workers a golden age of prosperity and security. Instead, it will increase the extent to which the global economy feels like a zero-sum competition, increasing the risk of political conflict. It will also destroy a developmental ladder which had already been looking quite rickety.

Developing economies will find themselves less able to use trade to boost their growth potential and less able to send migrants to richer countries. At the same time, the international cooperation that occasionally provided some cushion against financial or economic hardship in the developing world could break down. And climate change will worsen.

The picture of Trump world is far darker for those outside the rich world than within it. Yet within, it is dark enough.

SOURCE: The Economist

Africa Targets $783bn from Climate-change Agreement by 2030

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A report by the International Finance Corporation (IFC) shows that the Paris Climate Change Agreement adopted last year will give rise to about $23 trillion in investment opportunities in emerging markets between now and 2030.

The study is based on the identified contributions of 189 countries in the battle against global warming as well as on the underlying policies of 21 emerging-market economies. Truly, carrying out the plans submitted by the various concerned nations requires a massive investment in sustainable solutions, be it renewable, ecologic cities, energy efficiency, or in the sustainable management of forests and ecologic agriculture.

The study thus reveals that the East Asia and Pacific region has a potential of $16 trillion in opportunities for green building and other projects. Next are the Latin America and the Caribbean region where $2.6 trillion could be invested in sustainable transportation mainly. In South Asia, opportunities are estimated to $2.5 trillion in climate-resilient infrastructure.

Sub-Saharan Africa could receive $783 billion of investments, mainly to develop a clean energy sector. Eastern Europe for its part shows a potential of $665 billion in investments while the Middle East and North Africa region’s potential has been estimated at $265 billion.

“There has never been a better time than now for climate-smart investing. This reflects the dramatic reduction in the price of clean technologies and the rise of smart policies that are driving businesses to invest. In this context, it is important to set ambitious goals—which is why IFC has pledged to increase our climate investments to a goal of $3.5 billion a year by 2020 and catalyze another $13 billion through other investors,” said IFC Executive Vice President Phillipe Le Houérou.

The report also urges government to implement the needed measures for the release of these key investments.

-Gwladys Johnson

‘Trump’s Victory Won’t Affect Aviation Industry’

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Ireland-based AerCap, one of the largest aircraft leasing companies in the world, does not expect that Trump’s election will hinder the growth of the civil aviation industry.

“What we know is that over last two 1/2 years, we’ve faced an awful lot of global shocks – Ebola, Zika, the downturn in Brazil, the attempted coup in Turkey, Brexit,” Aercap’s CEO Aengus Kelly told journalists after the company reported third-quarter results.

“So long as a commitment to free trade is preserved, I think economies will grow and this company will grow with it,” Kelly added.

AerCap Holdings (AerCap) has announced its major business transactions during the third quarter 2016. The company has signed lease agreements for 96 aircraft, including 10 wide-body and 86 narrow-body aircraft.

During the third quarter of 2016, AerCap has exercised options to purchase 10 Airbus A320neo Family aircraft with deliveries in 2021, and signed financing transactions for $0.8 billion in the third quarter 2016. Aercap announced its profit in the third quarter being $225.6 million, with a revenue of $1.2 billion.

Donald Trump won the 2016 US presidential elections with 290 electoral votes, against Hillary Clinton’s 228.

Travelstart Scoops Two Africa Travel Awards

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The Africa Travel Award held on the 31st of October, Travelstart.com was awarded the “Best

Online Booking Platform in Africa” and “Top Travel Company in West Africa, 2016” in the

Akwaaba Africa Travellers Market event, owing to their exceptional online user experience and user-friendly platform.

According to Mrs. Rita Ikechi-Uko, the organiser: “We are passionate about catalysing change in the tourism and travel landscape in Africa. This new aspect will definitely be an eye-opener for many of the delegates and guest and will position Africa on the path of global relevance on most current information on that sector.”

In line with this, Philip Akesson the country manager of Travelstart.com in Nigeria said; “I am happy that not only Nigeria but Africa as a whole has recognised the collective efforts of the

Travelstart Group in providing the easiest means of booking their flights on our platform and offering a great customer experience.”

The Akwaaba Africa Travel Market is an annual travel and tourism exhibition which has been held in Lagos since its inception in 2005 with an objective of transferring knowledge covering travel, hospitality and aviation sectors globally. It is a three-day event held at Eko Hotels & Suites Victoria Island, Lagos, Nigeria.

Travelstart.com is a leading and one of the fastest-growing online travel agencies in Africa.

Since its establishment in Africa in 2006, it has been providing great travel deals, creating strategic means that will promote easy and convenient user experience on its website for its customers.

Travelstart.com expressed its gratitude to the organisers of the Akwaaba Africa Travel Market, and very importantly the voters with the promise that it will make the booking of flights on its platform simple and easy to access.

Finally, Travelstart.com also guarantees that it will keep offering the cheapest airfares for multiple destinations across the world.

About Travelstart

Founded in 1999 in Sweden, Travelstart started up in South Africa in 2006 to focus on the

emerging market opportunity. Travelstart addresses complexities in the African travel market by

directly accessing local supply, solving language and currency problems as well as the diverse

plethora of payment methods. In addition to its technology platform which meets the need of

travel bookers on mobile and desktop devices, Travelstart prides itself on delivering an

exceptional service experience to its customers.

Travelstart provides travellers with real-time access to thousands of flights from all carriers and

serves 2 million monthly users in 16 countries. Travelstart has offices in Cape Town, Dubai,

Istanbul, Lagos, Cairo and Dar es Salaam.

Global Airlines Financial Monitor: October 2016

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  • The initial financial results from Q3 2016 point to another solid quarter for industry profitability and cash flow, although they add to earlier signs that the industry profitability cycle may have peaked;
  • Global airline share prices rose by 3.6% in October, but have underperformed the wider equity market this year;
  • Brent crude oil prices reached a 15-month high during October, but have fallen back so far in November. The oil market is slowly rebalancing, and prices are expected to trend upwards gradually over the coming years;
  • There have been further signs that the intense downward pressure on passenger yields eased during the middle part of 2016, in keeping with the change in the trend of oil prices;
  • The premium segment remains an important buffer for airline financial performance. Premium airfares have held up better than those in economy on many of the most important premium routes so far this year;
  • Developments in passenger traffic continue to reflect the net influence of a number of factors. Traffic was resilient in September, and the seasonally-adjusted industry-wide load factor increased to a nine-month high;
  • The upward trend in air freight volumes has accelerated in recent months, helped in part by one-off factors. Nonetheless, the load factor remains at a historically low level, and wider weakness of world trade is still a concern.